 Basic Concepts of Coalescence: Complete
            Coalescence
      
      Basic Concepts of Coalescence: Complete
            Coalescence
           
          Coalescence
              is the idea that all genetic variation in a
            finite population is lost over finite time. Looked at backwards
              in time, a population of N individuals after
            t generations will all be descended from a single
            individual in the earliest generation, and thus will have
            only the allele(s) present in that individual, subject to
            mutation.
            
                The array shows a population of haploid
            individuals that has a constant size of N=10 for 15
            generations. Each horizontal row represents a
            generation; time proceeds from top to
            bottom. Lines in the graph show parent-to-offspring descent.
            All individuals in the Present (bottom row) are shown in red: if they are traced
            backwards in time (upward), all ten
                  coalesce in a single Most Recent Common Ancestor
            (MRCA) in the third
            generation from the top. That is, all other variant alleles
            present in the third generation have been eliminated in the
            15th generation. 
            
                Coalescence does not require change in
            population size, which remains constant at N=10 over
            the entire interval. Nor does it require a selective
            advantage for the coalescent ancestor. Ordinary (Poisson)
            variance in expected offspring number is sufficient, where
            approximately 1/3 of individuals will produce 0, 1, or 2 or
            more offspring in the next generation. 
            
            HOMEWORK: (1) For each
            of the other nine individuals in the first generation,
            identify the individual at which the lineage disappears. 
                       
                        (2)
            Some descendants of the MRCA in generation 3 are
            not shown in red: how
            do you interpret this?
                       
                        (3)
            Redraw the descendants of the MRCA in lineages that
            lead to the present: how many separate lineages are present
            in each generation?
                       
                        (4)
            Identify the error(s) in NS
                03-02.
            
            
      
Figure after
        ©
          2013 by Sinauer; Text material © 2022 by Steven M. Carr