Biogeographers suggest two refugial
areas where Caribou and other large mammals might have
survived when Newfoundland was covered miles deep in
glacial ice, ca 10KYA. The Grand Banks, to the
southeast of the island, are known to have been above
water, when sea levels were lower due to sequestering of
water in ice. Caribou might have been forced south, and
re-entered the island from the southeast across a chain of
glacial island refugia.
Alternatively, re-opening of the valley
of the St Lawrence River would have provided a
means of expansion from central North America into Quebec
and Labrador. Caribou could then have re-entered the
island from the northwest, across the narrow Strait of
Belle Isle.
The genetic analysis shows that insular
Caribou are most closely related to current populations in
Quebec and Labrador. The rare Clade A (Figures 4
& 5) is found both on the Northern Peninsula
of the island and in
Quebec. This suggests that there is ongoing gene
flow between the island and mainland, across the Strait of
Belle Isle.
Further evidence against colonization
from the southeast is that Caribou populations on the
Avalon Peninsula are genetically invariant.
This suggests a bottleneck and (or) genetic
drift
after small numbers of animals crossed the Isthmus of the
Avalon. The presence of unbrowsed lichen (the favorite
food of caribou) on cliffs on either side of the Narrows
of the Isthmus suggests little or no movement for at least
several hundred years.