NS 07-01

Natural Selection on SNP mutation in a Haploid Bacteriophage

    Selection in a haploid system involves a selective advantage for one or the other of two SNP alleles, rather than a diploid genotype. Here, the SNP in the MS2 RNA phage gene is C206U. The notation indicates that the standard C base at position 206 has mutated to a U base. The U allele has a selective advantage: the graph shows the increase in frequency of the U allele at intervals of 25 generations. The error bars show variation in the rate of fixation among replicate cultures. The increase in f(U) is exponential, and the pre-existing C allele is eliminated in some populations by 75 and in all by 100 generations. Contrast this to the behavior of a disadvantageous allele in a diploid system, where it is never entirely eliminated because when rare it show up only in heterozygotes.

    The haploid selection model accounts for the increase of the 'Delta' & 'Omicron' variants of the Covid-19 RNA virus. Whereas the example above describes a selective advantage in vitro, first the Delta and now the Omicron variants are at a selective advantage in vivo because of its higher infectivity rate (Ro, read as "R nought") relative to the original strain.


Figure © 2013 by Sinauer; Text material © 2022 by Steven M. Carr