Bayes Maximum Likelihood analysis
of Harp Seal (Pagophilus groenlandicus) relationships
Harp Seals were
collected from four breeding grounds, the southern Gulf of St
Lawrence (GS), the Newfoundland and Labrador Ice Front (NL
and NL'), Jan Mayen Island in the Greenland Sea (GS),
and the White Sea (WS).
Several methods of constructing phylogenetic
trees of the genetic relationships are available. "Bayes
Analysis" uses "conditional probability" based on
evidence-based assumptions about molecular change. The
probability of any particular tree is extremely low, but can be
estimated. Maximum Likelihood analysis then
identifies which of the many unlikely trees is the least
unlikely, that is, maximally likely. ML identifies
six major lineages (clades) (A - F) and within
these up to five sub-lineages (A1 - A5). Groups are
identified by posterior probabilities.